In validation · not trading live

It trades in silence. It proves everything.

An automated futures system that researches, executes and reports on its own. Nothing is traded until it survives six statistical tests — and every result is published, including the failures.

STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE 2.88OVERFITTING PROBABILITY 0.12DEFLATED SHARPE RATIO 0.29WALK-FORWARD, UNSEEN DATA PASSSLIPPAGE STRESS PASSPROP-RULE MONTE CARLO PASSTRADES TESTED 1,264FED DAYS SKIPPED
1,264 trades backtested, 2020 – 2025
6 gates before real money
79 automated safety tests
$0 at risk until all six pass
01 — Method

One strategy. One rulebook. Zero emotion.

Micro Nasdaq-100 futures, US session only. The system lets the first 30 minutes reveal the day, then follows the break — exit planned before entry.

  1. i.

    Read the market

    Prices, economic calendar and account status — verified before anything moves.

  2. ii.

    Mark the range

    The high and low of 9:30–10:00 ET draw the day’s battle lines.

  3. iii.

    Clear the guard

    An independent risk module can veto any trade. The strategy can’t overrule it.

  4. iv.

    Enter protected

    Stop and target ride with every order. No stop confirmed in 5 seconds — flat.

  5. v.

    Reconcile, report

    Orders and balances checked every minute. Every trade on the record.

02 — Evidence

We publish what fails.

Others show a winning chart. We show the scorecard — six gates drawn from published research. Real capital only when all six read pass.

Tested and retired: 5-minute breakout · VWAP mean reversion · late-day momentum · forex & gold trend.

VALIDATION SCORECARD · 30-MIN BREAKOUT · BACKTEST
GATEREQUIREDTODAYSTATUS
Statistical significance t > 3.00 2.88 NOT YET
Overfitting probability < 0.10 0.12 BORDERLINE
Deflated Sharpe ratio > 0.95 0.29 NOT YET
Walk-forward, unseen data OOS/IS ≥ 0.5 ≈ 0.5 PASS
Slippage stress 4 ticks / side holds PASS
Prop-rule Monte Carlo fail rate OK within PASS
03 — Safeguards

The account comes first. Always.

If data, calendar or account can’t be verified, it doesn’t trade. It never raises risk to win back a loss.

01

Fixed risk per trade

A set dollar amount. If one contract exceeds it, the trade is skipped.

02

Daily loss limit

Reached, and the system rests until the next session.

03

Drawdown ceiling

A hard cap on total decline, checked live including open trades.

04

Kill switch

One command cancels every order and flattens every position.

05

No duplicate orders

Never blindly retried. Two fills at once trigger a flatten and halt.

06

News-day discipline

No trades on Fed decision days — losing in both halves of the data.

04 — Ledger

Displayed profit isn’t income. We track the gap.

LIVE LEDGER AWAITING FIRST LIVE TRADE
Simulated P&L—
Account P&L—
Eligible payouts—
Received, net of fees—

EQUITY CURVE BEGINS WITH THE FIRST LIVE TRADE

Follow the build quietly.

One email a month: the scorecard, what passed, what failed, and the real numbers.

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